I hope everyone is enjoying/enjoyed their Fourth of July. The action rolls on with tonight’s 2 game PAL slate starting at 1 AM. Let’s dig in.
D13 Vs. Bren
D13 come in as pick em favorites at -122. Both D13 and Bren are currently in the playoffs, sitting at 7th and 8th but they need to grab a win here to help separate from each other. For D13, we know tamir and Mistercap can be safely ignored as both have bad 3 month stats and event stats. The plays here are skOR, Annihilation and rate. skOR is extremely cheap for his 3 month stats and will be especially popular.
At -106, you can certainly grab Bren exposure in cash here as well in a match Vegas has as a toss up. Like D13, you are concentrating on a trio here in Papichulo, witz and Derek.
Consider: Annihilation, rate, skOR (Cash/GPP) Papichulo, Derek, wtiz (Cash/GPP)
Prediction: 2-1 D13
TYLOO Vs. Beyond
TYLOO come in at -500, which is always going to lead to lots of ownership. You may be looking at Beyond’s recent form and wonder why this line isn’t closer. It is because TYLOO has historically dominated Beyond. They are 5-0 all time against them with only 1 map lost out of 13. That includes a meeting in early June where TYLOO won 16-7, 16-13. For TYLOO, all 5 guys are viable here. I especially like the price of SLOWLY and Attacker. who are both having great events and come in over a grand cheaper than DANK1NG despite near identical 3 month stats.
I mentioned the struggles for Beyond historically against TYLOO. This has me GPP only here with qqGOD, Olivia and Kntz.
Consider: dank1ng, SLOWLY, Attacker, Summer (Cash/GPP) somebody (Value)
Prediction: 2-0 TYLOO
Note: Bold indicates a stronger lean for that player. All stats are over the course of the last 3 months.