Welcome to Day 4 of Tennis tournaments this week. This week They are in Rio de Janeiro, Marseille and Delray Beach. Today brings us another smaller, 10 match slate.
- Super difficult sport. One of, if not the most high variance sport. So play smart!
- Slate start times are all over the place, including some middle of the night starts. So be mindful of start times and the fact that a late scratch is potential with Tennis.
- Tennis is not like most sports where you have to pay up for the top plays. There are no James Harden's in Tennis where 1 player can score 40 points more than anybody else on the slate. It is rarely going to be worth paying all the way up for a player unless the slate allows it.
- Be careful about players who double fault a lot.
- Players with high upside AND favorites (as long as the price isn't outrageous) are usually top tier plays.
Now that you have a better feel for Tennis DFS, let's dig in.
Tommy Paul- Paul is taking on fellow American, Frances Tiafoe. Tiafoe was ranked as high as 29th in the world last year while Paul just hit his career high ranking of 70th on February 3rd. This is a case of two players going in opposite directions. Tiafoe has fallen from 29th (exactly a year ago) to his current ranking of 79th. While Paul has used a stellar 2020 to propell himself over 100 spots from ranked in the low 200's to his currently ranking of 70th. Tommy Paul is 8-4 (67%) in main draw hard court matches over the last 12 months while Tiafoe is 10-14 (42%). Paul is playing the better Tennis right now and should utilize that confidence to get through Tiafoe.
Note: Draftkings pricing allows for an all favorites lineup but you will have to utilize both Tommy Paul and Pierre Herbert. Herbert is only a -120 in a tough matchup. The other option is to grab an under dog, which we will discuss below. Keep in mind you need all of your players to win if you expect to win big. In cash you can typically get away with a loss or 2, but still the goal is all wins.
With the above note in mind, we are going to take a look at a cheaper, slight under dog who is worth considering.
Egor Gerasimov- Egor is taking on the number 10 ranked player in the world in David Goffin. What I like about Egor is his recent form having won 8 of his last 10 matches overall. Granted, some were against lesser opponents, but I still like an underdog who is playing with confidence. On top of that, Egor plays pretty well on Indoor carts. Over the last 12 months in main draw indoor matches, Egor is 5-3 (63%) while Goffin is 8-8 (50%). Egor also carries some ace upside with .80 aces per game, 3rd highest on the slate. Goffin also allows .63 aces per game, 4th highest on the slate.
To help fill out your lineup, grab our amazing cheat sheet below! As I mentioned above, our cheat sheet features all the stats and info you need to build a quality lineup and compete nightly in a difficult sport. Good luck!