After a fantastic Australian Open, Tennis returns with an 11 match slate to start the week. You can expect an article from us for any decent size slate all season long, so let's dig in! But first, a look at Tennis for those new to it.
- Super difficult sport. One of, if not the most high variance sport. So play smart!
- Slate start times are all over the place, including some middle of the night starts. So be mindful of start times and the fact that a late scratch is potential with Tennis.
- Tennis is not like most sports where you have to pay up for the top plays. There are no James Harden's in Tennis where 1 player can score 40 points more than anybody else on the slate. It is rarely going to be worth paying all the way up for a player unless the slate allows it.
- Be careful about players who double fault a lot.
- Players with high upside AND favorites (as long as the price isn't outrageous) are usually top tier plays.
Now that you have a better feel for Tennis DFS, let's dig in.
Pablo Carreno-Busta- Busta is mispriced here. He is actually the biggest favorite on the board, yet $600 cheaper than Verdasco. You can't fit him without taking a shot on an under dog though, which we will talk about an option below.
Viktor Troicki- At -205, Troicki is the 4th biggest favorite on the board, yet the 7th most expensive player. I won't pretend to be an expert on the 159th ranked player in the world..but his opponent, Sumit Nagal has a slate worst 1380 hard court ELO.
Note: Draftkings pricing does allow for an all favorites lineup today utilizing nobody worse than a -130 favorite. Going that route is absolutely viable and the cheat sheet will help you build. If you want to grab some high priced, larger favorites, you will have to take a cheap under dog that opens up salary. Keep in mind that whatever route you go, you need all of your players to win if you expect to win big. In cash you can typically get away with a loss or 2, but still the goal is all wins.
With the above note in mind, we are going to take a look at a cheaper, slight under dog who is worth considering.
Pablo Cuevas- Cuevas and Delboinis have plenty head to head experience in what will be the 6th match between the clay court vets. While Delboinis took the most recent meeting, Cuevas holds the 3-2 lifetime advantage. In hard court, main draw matches over the last 12 months, Cuevas is 18-12 (60%) while Delboinis is 12-12.
To help fill out your lineup, grab our amazing cheat sheet below! As I mentioned above, our cheat sheet features all the stats and info you need to build a quality lineup and compete nightly in a difficult sport. Good luck!