After a 16 match slate yesterday, with a few withdrawals, DK gives us a decent 14 match slate. You can expect an article from us for any decent size slate all season long, so let's dig in! But first, a look at Tennis for those new to it.
- Super difficult sport. One of, if not the most high variance sport. So play smart!
- Slate start times are all over the place, including some middle of the night starts. So be mindful of start times and the fact that a late scratch is potential with Tennis.
- Tennis is not like most sports where you have to pay up for the top plays. There are no James Harden's in Tennis where 1 player can score 40 points more than anybody else on the slate. It is rarely going to be worth paying all the way up for a player unless the slate allows it.
- Be careful about players who double fault a lot.
- Players with high upside AND favorites (as long as the price isn't outrageous) are usually top tier plays.
Now that you have a better feel for Tennis DFS, let's dig in.
Yuichi Sugita- Japan has a lot of up and coming tennis players. Sugita is one of them. He comes in today as a -170 favorite vs Viktor Troicki. Sugita doesn't have the raw power that a lot of tennis players has, but he will make you work for all your points. He just defeated Fabbiano in straight sets and i see the same result today.
Ilya Ivashka- Ivashka got past my upset pick yesterday in Donskoy with ease. Today he comes in as a -150 favorite vs Travaglia. Traveglia is a clay court player, and if this match was on clay, i would side with him. But since it is on a Hard service, I don't think he will be able to handle Ivashka's power from the baseline. In their only H2H meeting, back in 2018, Ivashka won in straight sets 7-6 , 6-2 (on a hard court).
Note: Draftkings pricing does allow for an all favorites lineup today utilizing nobody worse than a -150 favorite. Going that route is absolutely viable and the cheat sheet will help you build. If you want to grab some high priced, larger favorites, you will have to take a cheap under dog that opens up salary. Keep in mind that whatever route you go, you need all of your players to win if you expect to win big. In cash you can typically get away with a loss or 2, but still the goal is all wins.
With the above note in mind, we are going to take a look at a cheaper, slight under dog who is worth considering.
Attila Balazs- Balazs comes in at +170 today. He had an impressive win yesterday vs Sonego in straight sets. Balazs comes into this match with a 7-2 (78%) record on clay. While his opponent, Garin, is 19-8 (70%) on clay, i still like the Hungarian. Balazs has won his last 7 of 8 matches. On the flip side Garin has lost 5 in a row at the ATP level and 4 of his last 5 on clay. Balazs will hope that Garin will try to over achieve here to get back in the win colum on clay, thus producing errors along the way. This should go 3 sets either way In my opinion.
To help fill out your lineup, grab our amazing cheat sheet below! As I mentioned above, our cheat sheet features all the stats and info you need to build a quality lineup and compete nightly in a difficult sport. Good luck!