Welcome back for 2 day of the years first slam. Day 1 was delayed by rain so Draftkings has given us a tad smaller, 35 match slate. That is a ton to look at, which is why we have our cheat sheet! Our cheat sheet has all the info you need in one spot. To help you even further, let's take a look at a few top plays to prioritize. Before we dig in, here are a few notes on Tennis DFS.
- Super difficult sport. One of, if not the most high variance sport. So play smart!
- Slate start times are all over the place, including some middle of the night starts. So be mindful of start times and the fact that a late scratch is potential with Tennis.
- Tennis is not like most sports where you have to pay up for the top plays. There are no James Harden's in Tennis where 1 player can score 40 points more than anybody else on the slate. It is rarely going to be worth paying all the way up for a player unless the slate allows it.
- Be careful about players who double fault a lot.
- Players with high upside AND favorites (as long as the price isn't outrageous) are usually top tier plays.
Now that you have a better feel for Tennis DFS, let's dig in.
Note: The plays I mentioned in the Fanduel article are all relevant here.
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga- Tsonga loves the Australian Open. In 12 appearances, he has only 1 first round exit (2007) and has reached runner up as well as 4 quarter final or better results. He is taking on Alexei Popyrin who will have the home crowd behind him. But ultimately this match is in Tsongas hands as he is simply the more talented player. Both players are not in great form as Tsonga has lost 2 straight while Popyrin has also lost 2 in a row and 4 of his last 5. Tsongas ace upside provides a solid floor and his experience should prove to be the difference here.
Note: Draftkings pricing is pretty soft today. I suggest building 1 of 2 ways. 1. Build an all favorites lineup, which can be accomplished today without having to dip below a -150 favorite. 2. Take a cheap under dog that opens up salary. Keep in mind that whatever route you go, you need all of your players to win if you expect to win big. In cash you can typically get away with a loss or 2, but still the goal is all wins.
With the above note in mind, we are going to take a look at a cheaper, slight under dog who is worth considering as well as a punt option worth considering.
Note: Alex Bolt is our Fanduel upset pick and he is also viable on Draftkings.
Tatjana Maria- Bolt if my preferred punt here, but if you really want to get a bit wild and open up some value, consider Maria. Maria is taking on former rising star Cici Bellis. Bellis was widely considered the next great american before injuries derailed her career. She returned last year and has shown mixed results, struggling to find her top form. Bellis is the better player and Maria is a large under dog at +290. But Maria's funky style and experience give her a shot at the upset here.
As I mentioned above, you can pretty comfortably build an all favorites lineup today. If you do chose to punt, Bolt is my preferred choice while Maria makes for an intriguing true punt option.
To help fill out your lineup, grab our amazing cheat sheet below! As I mentioned above, our cheat sheet features all the stats and info you need to build a quality lineup and compete nightly in a difficult sport. Good luck!