Welcome back for 3 day of the years first slam. Today brings us a pretty star studded 26 match slate. While the slate size is getting more manageable, that is still a ton to look at. Which is why we have our cheat sheet! Our cheat sheet has all the info you need in one spot. To help you even further, let's take a look at a few top plays to prioritize. Before we dig in, here are a few notes on Tennis DFS.
- Super difficult sport. One of, if not the most high variance sport. So play smart!
- Slate start times are all over the place, including some middle of the night starts. So be mindful of start times and the fact that a late scratch is potential with Tennis.
- Tennis is not like most sports where you have to pay up for the top plays. There are no James Harden's in Tennis where 1 player can score 40 points more than anybody else on the slate. It is rarely going to be worth paying all the way up for a player unless the slate allows it.
- Be careful about players who double fault a lot.
- Players with high upside AND favorites (as long as the price isn't outrageous) are usually top tier plays.
Now that you have a better feel for Tennis DFS, let's dig in.
Hubert Hurkacz- Hurkacz had to claw his way back in his first round match up when he went down 2 sets to 0. He came back and won the next 3 sets to defeat Dennis Novak. Today he opens up as a -145 favorite and is priced at 7,800 vs John Millman. Millman didnt have it easy in the first round either, and actually ended up playing a longer match than Hurkocz. Millman is 2-0 lifetime vs Hubert, Hurkacz is playing a lot better tennis on Hard courts than Millman (22-10, 68% to 14-14, 50%) Hurkacz should come away with the win in this one today.
Note: Draftkings pricing once again allows for multiple all favorites builds. So I suggest building one of two ways. 1. Build an all favorites lineup, which can be accomplished today without having to dip below a -145 favorite. 2. Take a cheap under dog that opens up salary. Keep in mind that whatever route you go, you need all of your players to win if you expect to win big. In cash you can typically get away with a loss or 2, but still the goal is all wins.
With the above note in mind, we are going to take a look at a cheaper, slight under dog who is worth considering as well as a punt option worth considering.
Sorana Cirstea - Cirstea was a slam dunk in the 1st round. She is playing the best tennis of her career right now. Today she gets the up and coming star, Cori Gauff. Cirstea is in form and hot, and i see her ending the young stars Australian open run early.
As I mentioned above, you can pretty comfortably build an all favorites lineup today. If you do chose to punt, Bolt is my preferred choice while Maria makes for an intriguing true punt option.
To help fill out your lineup, grab our amazing cheat sheet below! As I mentioned above, our cheat sheet features all the stats and info you need to build a quality lineup and compete nightly in a difficult sport. Good luck!