Welcome back Tennis fans. We are getting to the point where matches are tight and upsets will be very difficult to predict. While the slate sizes are getting more manageable, there is still a ton to look at. Which is why we have our cheat sheet! Our cheat sheet has all the info you need in one spot. To help you even further, let's take a look at a few top plays to prioritize. Before we dig in, here are a few notes on Tennis DFS.
- Super difficult sport. One of, if not the most high variance sport. So play smart!
- Slate start times are all over the place, including some middle of the night starts. So be mindful of start times and the fact that a late scratch is potential with Tennis.
- Tennis is not like most sports where you have to pay up for the top plays. There are no James Harden's in Tennis where 1 player can score 40 points more than anybody else on the slate. It is rarely going to be worth paying all the way up for a player unless the slate allows it.
- Be careful about players who double fault a lot.
- Players with high upside AND favorites (as long as the price isn't outrageous) are usually top tier plays.
Now that you have a better feel for Tennis DFS, let's dig in.
Note: Plays mentioned on our Fanduel Top Plays article (coming shortly!) are also viable on Draftkings.
Caroline Wozniacki- Woz was able to delay her retirement by at least another match with her upset win over the rising start Yastremska. Woz was down big in the first set and battled back to win in straight sets. Woz looks motivated here to go as deep as she can and potentially go out on top. Her 16-9 (64%) record on hard court main draw matches over the last 12 months is impressive. Her opponent, Ons Jabeur, is 11-13 (46%).
Note: Draftkings pricing is pretty tight today but does allow for a few different all favorite builds. But you will have to pick a side of a pick em match to make it work. Your other option is to take a cheap under dog that opens up salary. Keep in mind that whatever route you go, you need all of your players to win if you expect to win big. In cash you can typically get away with a loss or 2, but still the goal is all wins.
With the above note in mind, we are going to take a look at a cheaper, slight under dog who is worth considering.
Tennys Sandgren- Set for an all American affair with big serving Sam Querrey. Sandgren has had lots of success at the Australian Open, making a quarter final run in 2018 and now on to the 3rd round here. Sam Querrey on the other hand, is playing in his 14th Australian Open and has yet to get past the 3rd round. Sandgren is fresh off a massive upset over 8 seed and number 8 player in the world Berretini. I like Sandgrens chances to continue his momentum and past success here and make it year 14 of Querrey failing to past the 3rd round.
Bottom line is this is a very difficult slate with no real slam dunk value plays, studs who should dominate (Fed, Joker, Serena, etc.) and mid range matchups that are very even. Sandgren is my favorite to pull off the upset here, but I will list some potential upset plays below as well as some reasons they could pull off the upset.
- Tommy Paul- our cheat sheet loves him but he has played 98 games compared to Fusovics 71
- Guido Pella- This match is a true pick em. Fogini has had 2 grueling 5 setters. Fatigue could give Pella the upper hand.
- Alison Riske- Slight under dog. Riske is playing well lately. Goerges serve has been dominate, which is why she is favored. But Riske has the tools to win.
- Dusan Lajovic- I like this match to go 5 sets. 2 very similar players style wise. Lajovic had a great ATP cup and is carrying that momentum. Would be an upset, but don't rule it out.
- Ekaterina Alexandrova- Unbeaten in 2020 and on a 7 match win streak
- Elena Rybakina- 11-1 in 2020.
To help fill out your lineup, grab our amazing cheat sheet below! As I mentioned above, our cheat sheet features all the stats and info you need to build a quality lineup and compete nightly in a difficult sport. Good luck!