EPL Showdown Tuesday 7/14 Chelsea vs Norwich City

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ODDS

 

What to expect from this article:  I will be breaking down a preferred player pool by position and having notes about specific matchups.  Once we see some games played we can possibly provide an expected lineup and formations.  Lineups usually release about 30-90 minutes before a game, so my best advice is jump into our Discord Chat and our Team can advise you of lineup plays and questions can be asked. Good Luck!

DFS Soccer Run-down:  

We will be targeting two different type of lineup builds between DK and FD.

On Draftkings you are awarded for crosses and will want players that accumulate stats by playing wide, attacking or on. set pieces.  When a player is on “Sets” this simply means he is favored to be the player on the ball for corner kicks and free kicks.  Each corner kick usually results in a cross and you will see guys accrue a goals worth of fantasy points by crosses alone.  Shots on goal are also a juicy stat but much harder to predict.  So generally if you hear a guy is on “Sets” then he will be a target for DK and even more so if he is on a betting favorite.  DFS Soccer has a lot to do with possession of the ball.  The more a team has the ball, then ideally the more. stats they can accrue.  

Fanduel works a bit differently as Goals and tackles are much more of a desired stat and Goal scorers and Centre backs (CBs) come in to play.  You can still accrue stats but picking out the goal scorers becomes much more important.  Also having a winning goalkeeper is much more important because of their scoring system.

Diagram Key:  RED CIRCLES (Set takers/Preferred CASH plays), GREEN CIRCLES (CASH plays), YELLOW SQUARE (GPP plays)…If a Player is underlined in Red it means he has taken SET pieces before and could steal a few.

**Be Sure to check back 30-60 minutes before lock for updates**

Expected Lineups

Chelsea vs Norwich City

 

 

**UPDATE:  no surprise to see we get no Buendia today as Norwich have nothing to play for   Cantwell and Hernandez are starting and looks like we should get maybe Kenny McLean on SET pieces   For Fanduel I like using McLean a lot along with Tettey and Rupp    Godfrey should get plenty of a chance to make tackles so those are al FD viable.  For the Chelsea side we have no real surprises other than a start from Ruben Loftus-Cheek.  He’s a very talented midfielder and someone that this club will be building with  for years.  I love Jorginho for FanDuel as he also should be taking PKs for the Chelsea side.   On DK he is not a must play .  Giroud I would say is a must play for FanDuel and on DK I like him a lot too as we should see some goals.  Willian is a CASH game lock and I love Captain America Christian Pulisic here as well.  For Fanduel I would say Azpicuelta is usually good for both sites as a defender choice.  **

Game notes:  This one seems pretty straightforward as Chelsea come in as a HUGE home favorite at -800 against a Norwich side that has already been relegated for next season and has nothing to play for other than maybe dash some hopes of the Chelsea faithful.  Chelsea need every point they can get after falling off a cliff last game.  Watching Sheffield dismantle them hurt my heart a bit, however the good news is we should see them on full tilt and in the mood to pour in goals.  You will want as many as you can cram in your lineups today so lets talk about preferred plays.  Willian has been the best in form player for the blues lately and he has dominated SET pieces.  He will be a heavily owned and targeted player and will get a large ownership percentage in the captain spot for CASH games.  The American Hero Christian Pulisic also will be looked at to carry some of the offensive load as he has looked healthy and in form lately.  Mason Mount has been one of the players that has looked out of touch to what he provided earlier in the season.  He can still get SET piece shares and is a CASH viable player.  Oliver Giroud/Tammy Abraham should be starting at the striker position today and whomever makes Frank Lampard’s starting 11 should be a target of everyone since the implied goal odds here against a bad Norwich defense are through the roof.  Marcus Alonso/Cesar Azpicuelta/Reece James/ Emerson Palmieri could all theoretically grab a start here and whichever two get the nod will be great CASH game targets and cheap captain picks.  NOR has some good CASH plays and fillers here.  My list of playable Norwich pieces probably goes Cantwell, Buendia, Hernandez.  Cantwell and Hernandez are cheap enough for me to have interest on and Buendia has the highest ceiling here.  I don’t really trust anyone else as a big away underdog.  Kepa will be an option as the Home goalkeeper for Chelsea but he has broke my heart a time or two.  Today might be more about getting goal exposure than chasing clean sheets.

 

Goalkeeper

  1. I do not Tout GKs for Dfs soccer because anything can happen.  Here is my thoughts though for this position.  
  2. Try to not play a GK against your attacking players.  Unless it is a small slate (3 games or less).
  3. I usually don’t like to pay up for GK unless I think the bottom of the pool Keepers could legitimately go negative.  
  4. GKs can be scored on and still be great plays.  Saving a shot on goal and giving up a goal can net a zero.  Clean sheet bonuses and wins both give you Dfs points but it is much easier to predict shot volume against than predicting clean sheets.  I have seen -15000 favorites give up a goal in soccer so nothing is for certain.  If you pay at GK for a huge favorite you may not have your GK see any shots at all which severely hampers your upside.
  5. I usually target the Cheapest GK (normally playing at home) that isn’t against the huge favorites.  

Do not forget to get in our Discord Chat.  The Author of this article may not play all the plays listed, as these plays could change based of confirmed lineups.  This article is meant to help with the lineup production process.  Good Luck!

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