Home Run Derby 5/19

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The Home Run Derby will list 2-3 players that are in prime power hitting spots. To get the full upside of each players performance, they should be included in a team stack as well as possible one offs.

Mark Canha-The Oakland A’s are in Detroit taking on rookie Gregory Soto. Soto is a hard throwing rookie who is going through some major growing pains. He has an xFIP of 7, is allowing 48% medium contact and 36% hard contact and giving up 89% contact overall. Not surprisingly, Soto has a huge .455 ISO to righties. Soto relies heavily on a sinker, throwing it over half the time at 51% to righties. He utilizes a slider and fastball as his secondary pitches.

Mark Canha is an absolute lefty masher. He has a .361 wOBA and .283 ISO against lefties. On top of that, he has great history against sinkers in a sizeable sample. He has a .413 wOBA and .421 ISO against the sinker. He also carries a .333 ISO against the slider. Lastly, Canha has a homer in 3 of his last 4 starts.

Matt Chapman– The A’s decided to give Mark Canha the day off, so we will pivot to another A in a great spot. As noted above, the A’s face Gregory Soto of the Tigers. Soto throws mainly a sinker to righties.

Matt Chapman has a .368 wOBA and .222 ISO against lefties. Whats more is he hits the sinker very well. He has a .519 wOBA and .339 ISO against the sinker. Chapman also hits the slider extremely well, Sotos number 2 most used pitch to righties, with a .386 wOBA and .379 ISO. And just as one more added bonus, he hits Sotos 3rd pitch, a 93 mph fastball, to the tune of .427 wOBA and .208 ISO. (A’s against lefties is one of my favorite stacks in the entire league. Stack up Oakland righties here)

Paul Goldschmidt– Goldy and the Cards are still in Texas taking on Drew Smyly and the dreadful Rangers bull pen. Smyly has a 5.66 xFIP with a whopping 55.1% hard contact rate. He is struggling against both sides of the plate giving up a .200+ ISO to lefties and righties. Smyly relies on a 91 mph fastball, throwing it 61% of the time to lefties and 51% to righties.

Goldy loves soft throwing pitchers. He carries a monster .646 wOBA and .545 ISO against 90-92 mph fastballs. On top of that, he crushes lefties to the tune of .385 wOBA and .240 ISO. Goldy is slumping a bit with only 1 hit his last 4 games, but this is the perfect break out spot for him. (Smylys struggles against both sides of the plate, don’t be afraid to play Carpenter here with a 1-4 stack)

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