Welcome to another installment of Home Run Derby! One of yesterdays picks did not start in Randal Grichuk, but our 2nd pick, Trevor Story, did not disappoint! He was also part of a gpp takedown from our very own Pete! Two days in a row Pete has finished top 2 in a GPP. In both instances, he had a full double stack and got multiple homers, something you need to take down gpps! If you want some coaching directly from Pete and our other great team members, become a VIP! So let’s see if we can find some possible home run stacks and some specific home run calls.
Let’s start with our top ISO stacks!
We actually have 3 pitchers tonight allowing an ISO over .300 to one side of the plate! It is rare that we see 1, let alone 3. I highlighted the batters who have a .200+ ISO themselves. Not surprisingly, Vegas projects all 3 teams here to put up some runs, with the Tigers currently projected for 4.3 runs while the Indians are at 5.16 and the Rockies are at 6.4!
Like we talked about yesterday, I don’t need to tell you to stack Coors. As you can see from Pete’s lineup above, the upside of a Coors stack is huge and don’t shy away from either team just because they are chalk! Utilize the players listed above here, especially those who have a .200+ ISO.
Before we dig in to some one off homer calls, let’s take a look at our top ranked bats overall today. These rankings are 100% stats and vegas based. They are based on a running total of both the pitcher and batters 2018-19 seasons. I do not do any adjustments to them. So truly a way to see who stands out from a purely statistical point of view!
Now let’s take a look at some individual homer calls!
Jordan Luplow– If you have read this article in the past, there is a decent chance you have seen Luplow’s name on here before. I LOVE Luplow against lefties. His numbers are staggering in his young career, as you can see with images above! What I like today is he gets not only a lefty, but a bad lefty. Carpenter has a 5.13 xFIP, gives up 42% hard contact and allows a whopping .426 wOBA and .306 ISO to righties!
Another thing I always look for is how a batter matches up against a pitchers main pitches. Carpenter throws mainly a sinker (29%) and slider (24%) to righties. Luplow hits the sinker to the tune of .354 wOBA, .333 ISO and an average distance of 342 feet! Even better, Luplow hits the slider to the tune of .321 wOBA, .429 ISO and a whopping average of 410 feet. While both of these are smaller samples, Luplow has shown to be a lefty masher.
Charlie Blackmon– Is there anybody hotter in baseball than Blackmon? In his last 5 games, he has 4 homers, 9 RBI’s and 10 hits. If you look at our player rankings above, you will see that Charlie Blackmon is our top ranked play on the entire slate. And as I mentioned, those rankings are 100% stats and vegas based.
Like Luplow, Blackmon also matches up really well against Quanrill’s main pitches. Qunatrill throws mainly a 3 pitch mix of a 94 mph fastball, changeup and a sinker. Blackmon has a .200+ ISO against both the changeup and sinker, and a fantastic .361 ISO against 94-96 mph fastballs.
Bonus: This is a juicy slate with a ton of pitchers going who give up a ton of power. Be sure to check out our FREE MLB stats when building GPPs and really look for pitchers giving up a ton of power and batters hitting for power. I usually look for .200+ ISO from my GPP bats. Also stack stack stack! Mini 2-3 man stacks or all out 4 man stacks. Stack em up in gpp’s.