Home Run Derby

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Pete Alonso– We are coming right back to my boy Pete Alonso tonight. He didn’t let us down yesterday with a homer and double yesterday for 27.9 Fanduel Points. Today he gets another dreadful Tigers starting pitcher, this time Ryan Carpenter.

Ryan Carpenter has a 5.02 xFIP with a .358 BABIP, suggesting he is as bad as the numbers show so far. He is giving up a whopping .449 wOBA and .327 ISO to righties (He is getting smashed by lefties as well)! In 9 innings of work his year, he has given up 13 runs leading to an ERA of 13.00.

This is another smash spot for not just Alonso, but the Mets. I would stack this game heavy and utilize the value pieces as cash plays. My favorites being; Alonso/Rosario/Ramos. If he starts, Conforto is an intriguing play in a lefty/lefty matchup, which should keep his ownership down.

Christian Yelich– Yup, not only are we going back to Alonso, but Yelich as well. I will keep this one short as you should already know how good Yelich has been for the last 18 months or so. So lets just put in to perspective just how good he has been at home this season.

Anthony Rizzo– Rizzo is the hottest player in baseball right now. Lets take a look at his last 5 games.

Rizzo has a great chance to continue his torrid pace when he faces Tyler Mahle of the Reds. Mahle hasn’t had a bad season, but he struggles against lefties in a big way. Giving up .400 wOBA and .260 ISO against lefties! On the flip side, Rizzo hits righties to the tune of .412 wOBA and .267 ISO. Add in 13 mph wind blowing out in Chicago, where wind has a big effect, and this is a prime spot. I would stack the top 4 here, with Rizzo and Schwarber being the priority.

Bonus Stacks: Minnesota Twins and Colorado Rockies have the highest totals of the day and for good reason. The Twins are facing Manny Banuelos, who gives up a huge .318 ISO to righties. C.J. Cron and Nelson Cruz are in dominate spots today and I expect at least 1, if not both to homer. This is a smash spot for the Twins, stack em up any and every way.

The Rockies are in Coors facing Andrew Trashner of the O’s. Not much needs to be said here. Cashner has a 5.32 xFIP wih a .302 BABIP..meaning he is simply bad at this point of his career. He also gives up essentially the same ISO numbers to lefties and righties, so all Rockies are in play. Plus, the O’s pen is dreadful, so it doesn’t get any tougher for the Rockies bats. Stack them up here, my favorite play being Trevor Story, followed by Dahl/Blackmon/Arenado.

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