Tonight brings us some Sunday night baseball featuring the Braves at the Cardinals. Lets take a look!
As you can see, Vegas likes the Cards in this one and both teams to score a bit. Lets take a closer look at the Braves.
Flaherty is a good young pitcher with solid numbers to both sides of the plate. So its not a surprise that the Cards are favored here. I typically look for my bats to have a .340+ wOBA and .200+ ISO. Not something that is an absolute must by any means, but especially for GPP’s, these are criteria I love to utilize. With that being said, you can see that Acuna/Freeman/Donaldson hit both those numbers while Markakis hits the wOBA and Swanson is just short on the ISO. Lets take a look at some history.
Flaherty has definitely gotten the better of this matchup so far. He is very intriguing tonight, especially when you consider the few guys that do have hits against him are not in the starting lineup.
If you think Flaherty is off his game tonight, Ronald Acuna Jr. is my top Brave here. He profiles very well against Flaherty’s main pitch, a 93 mph fastball. Acuna has a .561 wOBA, .576 ISO, an insane 82% hard hit rate and an average distance of 352 feet. Although this is a small sample size. Freeman/Donaldson/Riley would be next favorites.
Now let’s take a look at the Cards tonight.
Taking a look at the numbers above, it is not a surprise to see a bit of success here for the Cards. Lets take a look at some advanced stats to see just how legit these numbers are. Teheran leans on a 89 mph fastball against both sides of the plate, throwing it over 40%. Against that pitch, Fowler/Goldschmidt/Carpenter/Bader all have an ISO over .300, with Goldschmidt (.661 wOBA & .593 ISO) and Carpenter (.549 wOBA & .478 ISO) leading the way. Combining advanced pitch stats with numbers of both the batter and pitcher, the Matt Carpenter BVP is absolutely legit.
I am prioritizing Matt Carpenter here as my captain.