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Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers

Dodger Stadium 

Game Time temp 70 degrees with wind blowing southwest 6 mph

Over/Under 8

Moneyline– Los Angeles (-170) Chicago (148)

Implied runs- Los Angeles 4.51/Chicago 3.49




Cubs are 7-2 in Lester’s 9 Thursday starts

Cubs are 12-4 in Lester’s  last 16 road starts

Cubs are 4-1 in last 5 against LH

Dodgers are 4-1 in last 5 against LH

Dodgers are 10-3 in last 13 Thursday games

Dodgers are 40-13 in last 53 home games

9 of last 10 Dodger games have gone UNDER 



Anthony Rizzo is one of the rare players that has a positive career BVP against Kershaw.  He is 6/16 with 2 HRs and 4 RBIs against the Dodger southpaw.


The Dodgers are the masters of the Platoon.  With lefty Lester on the mound we should see-

David Freese ($5,000)- .404 wOBA/.255 ISO/48.6 Hard %

Chris Taylor ($4,000)- .244 ISO/37.5 Hard %

Two cheap right handed bats and Freese has been around the game enough to know how to handle left handers.

And the ususal suspects:

Justin Turner ($7,000) -.331 wOBA/.187 ISO with a strong 53.3 FB% (.409 wOBA since early May) is today’s long ball threat.  Lester has not allowed a home run to a left handed bat this season.

Cody Bellinger ($9,500)- .428 wOBA/.296 ISO/53.7 Hard % in LH vs. LH

Max Muncy ($8,000)- .405 wOBA/.274 ISO/46.9 Hard % in LH vs LH


It’s not the old Kershaw but it’s still Clayton Kershaw.  His strike out % is down to 22% (still not bad for most other major league pitchers) but his xFIP is 3.29,his GB% is 52.4 and he still doesn’t issue walks. The Cubs will struggle against the left hander.

There is one Cub who feasts on left handed pitching and that is :

Jose Baez- ($7,500) -527 wOBA/.486 ISO

Kevin Bryant ($8,500)- .433 wOBA/.405 ISO

Besides Baez and Bryant it may be worth it to give Anthony Rizzo ($9,000) and his BVP a shot  


Turner would be my main choice as MVP since he has the potential to go off.  Muncy/Bellinger fit into the All Star role and Dodger right handed bats  along with Baez and possibly Bryant or Rizzo as utility spots   


Good Luck.


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