Vancouver PP1- There is so much to like about Vancouver tonight. First off, they lead the slate with a Vegas implied total of 3.7 goals, which isn’t a surprise when we take a look at some numbers. Vancouver is a much better team at home and they take on an Ottawa team who is much worse defensively on the road. Ottawa is giving up slate highs 3.6 goals against, 49.97 corsi against and 10.33 high danger chances against per game.
With Ottawa being the worst defensive team on the slate across multiple metrics, it comes as no surprise that 5 Vancouver players find themselves at the top of our rankings for their positions.
This is a pretty wide open slate with 12 teams projected over 3 goals. Let’s highlight a few stackable lines in cash. On large slates, I prefer to stick to teams with projected totals over 3 in cash. If you love one of the lower projected teams, stack them in a gpp.
Cash viable- Vegas PP1/2, Toronto Top 6 + Barrie/Reilly, Boston 1, Tampa Bay PP1, Washington PP1, Nashville PP1, Florida PP1, San Jose PP1, Philadelphia 2
Any time we get a slate this big with this many high totals, I like to list some one off value plays instead of full lines. So let’s take a look at a few.
Tanner Pearson- If you need some cheaper exposure to Vancouver, Pearson is your man. He is quietly having a solid year with 9 points in 11 home games.
Kasperi Kapanen- Kapanen has been a sneaky play on the road all season. He is the rare player who plays much better on the road. On the year, he has 13 points in 14 home games. Pretty impressive considering he has 17 points on the year. He is also riding a 4 game point streak.
Paul Stastny- While Stastny didn’t score last night, he continued his aggressive play with 5 shots. New Jersey just got smoked by Buffalo last night and now gets another tough matchup with a Vegas team that is showing signs of life. Stastny is cheap exposure to Vegas 2.
Joel Armia- Armia started off the season red hot but then fell back to earth. He has since found his groove again with points in 4 of his last 5 games, including goals in 3 straight.
Ilya Mikheyev- Points in 4 of his last 7 games. To add to it, his shot volume has given him a safe floor since moving to the 2nd unit. In his 3 games without points, he had 14 combined shots and 4 combined blocks. His low score in those 6 games was 8 Fanduel/7.3 Draftkings points.
Brett Connolly- 12 points in 12 home games this season, including a surprising 8 goals. He has points in 6 of his last 8 games
John Tavares- Teams tend to treat the Matthews line as the top line when the Leafs are on the road, giving Tavares and the 2nd line a solid matchup. Not surprising to see Tavares has 12 points in 11 road games. He also has 3 straight multi point games.
David Pastrnak- 25 goals in 27 games this year. Including 16 goals in 15 home games this season.
Jakub Vrana- Oh boy, someone has put it all together. Vrana is having a breakout year with 23 points in 28 games. He is riding a 4 game point streak and 5 in his last 6. The Backstrom injury has also opened up the door to a spot on the top PP unit.
Vegas projects the Winnipeg/Dallas game to be so low scoring that they have the 2 lowest totals on the board! Putting Anton Khudobin and Connor Hellebuyck both in play. Khudobin is a value on both sites while Hellebuyck is a DK value. Another viable value on both sites is Joonas Korpisalo. If you want to save some serious funds, Garret Sparks comes in at minimum salary on Fanduel (too pricey on DK). Lastly we have Jaroslav Halak who is in great recent form. But he cost a pretty penny on both sites.