Just 3 games tonight. But still money to be made, so let’s dig in!
10 Day Report
Above is our 10 day report. It features some basic stats to give you a snap shot of how a team has been performing over the last 10 days. This typically means the last 4-6 games for a team, but with all star break and teams starting to take their long breaks, today’s is 3-4 games. Another few days and we will be right back to a nice sample size. The bigger the sample size, the better a snapshot of a teams recent form!
Another thing I like to do is take a look at opposing goalies numbers. Our cheat sheet utilizes home/away splits to give a better representation of a goalies form on the year (for insance, Carter Hart is amazing at home and just dreadful on the road, important to know when to attack him).
Goalie is pretty straight forward today. Igor is projected to be the most popular on both sites and for good reason. Kings on the 2nd night of a back to back and just got shutout by a dreadful NJ team last night. Kigns also averaging the lowest goals per game of the slate. For GPP’s, you can consider a guy like Pavel who has sparking numbers on the road this year and will come in at low ownership.
Note: Not all goalies are confirmed. Always confirm goalie before lock!
Now lets dig in to some offensive stats and find some targets.
DVP (defense vs. position)
These numbers are how the opposing team ranks against each position. I took the average fantasy points allowed to each position and ranked them. The higher the number, the worse the opponent is against that position. Easy way to look at it is green is good for the team in the far left column and red is bad!
DVP is something that nobody really looks at for hockey but it does carry a little bit of weight. I find it very useful when deciding between 2 plays who I have as dead even.
Last we have our line production chart. As the heading states, this is how each line + defensive pairing has performed on the year based on home/away splits.
Now that we have a very detailed look at some numbers, time for some plays.
The first place I like to start when deciding on who to build around is our Report Card, specifically the “A+” plays. In order for a player to receive an A+ grade, they need to meet the following requirements: Average at least 1 point per game over the last week and month. Average at least 1 point per game for the season based on home/away splits, be a member of a power play and have an implied Vegas total of 3 goals or higher. I find this important because this helps me target guys who are playing well not only right now, but for an extended period and also guys who do well at home or on the road (some guys splits are drastic).
Note: On small slates, I list A+, A and B plays!
Now that we have all the info digested, let’s take a look at some plays!
New York Rangers PP1- Rangers at home against a dreadful Kings team on the 2nd night of a back to back? Sign me up! Chris Kreider and Mika Zibanejad are red hot right now and as a bonus, the DVP chart supports both. Those are my top priorities here but of course the other guys are in play as well.
Colorado PP1- Colorado 1 on the road isn’t nearly as juicy as the opposing team can match up defensively. But this is still the most talented overall unit on the slate. They also take on Devan Dubnyk who is allowing over 3 goals per game at home. Don’t forget about Makar here who gets the best DVP matchup for the Avs.
Winnipeg PP1- The Jets are fresh off an explosive game where Laine had a hatty. What I love about this unit is the fact that the entire top line is on the top unit together. You can see from the line production chart above that Winnipeg 1 has the 2nd best combined production on the slate.
Colorado PP2- 2/3 of the hot 2nd line are on the 2nd unit together. Plus some quality players like Doonskoi and Girard. On the road, these guys will face the softer matchups as teams try to slow down the top line.
Kirby Dach- Centering the 2nd line with Kane and on the top power play unit at near minimum price.
Minnesota and Winnipeg offer some value spread throughout their top 6 and/or power play units.
GPP Stacks- All the plays mentioned above are GPP viable as well. Never be afraid of high owned plays in GPP’s. The idea that you can only take down a gpp with all 1% owned guys is false. For a lower owned stack or lower owned one offs (great to mix with chalk plays who are in smash spots!), Chicago PP1, Minnesota PP2 (value stack!)
Be sure to utilize our NHL Cheat Sheet to help you finalize your lineups. It features: player pricing, projections, player stats/advanced stats based on home/away splits, opponent stats, power play stats, suggested plays, customizable rankings & more!