Tennis DFS Top Plays & Cheat Sheet 1/6

In Tennis by devinLeave a Comment

Welcome back Tennis fans! The 2020 season is here and we are starting you off with coverage from day 1. Our industry leading cheat sheet features all the stats you need to build a quality lineup every slate. A few things to remember with Tennis.

  • Super difficult sport. One of, if not the most high variance sport. So play smart!
  • Slate start times are all over the place, including some middle of the night starts. So be mindful of start times and the fact that a late scratch is potential with Tennis.
  • Tennis is not like most sports where you have to pay up for the top plays. There are no James Harden's in Tennis where 1 player can score 40 points more than anybody else on the slate. It is rarely going to be worth paying all the way up for a player unless the slate allows it.
  • Be careful about players who double fault a lot.
  • Players with high upside AND favorites (as long as the price isn't outrageous) are usually top tier plays.

Day 1 already reminded us of the upset nature of Tennis DFS with multiple big upsets. Which is exactly why the message above is going to stay there for the first few weeks. Also important to remember that the Tennis season is just starting. These players have been off for a few weeks/months now and just like with all sports, the rust has to be knocked off. Some players also changed coaches and/or styles, which can lead to a bit of a slow start as well. So keep playing smart! Let's dig in to day 2.

Amanda Anisimova- Draftkings is usually spot on with their pricing, forcing you to either build around pick em games or slight favorites. Today is their first real pricing error of the season in Anisimova. Anisimova is an up and coming player who at only 18 years old, is a top 25 player in the world. She has won 7 of her last 9 at the WTA International level as well as 6 of the last 7 in the first round. She is a -375 favorite here, which at only 7.7k is a free spot and she should be chalk.

Note: There are a few ways to build your Tennis lineups. 1. All favorites. In order to take down a GPP, you need all 6 of your players to win their match. For cash games, you can get away with a loss or two. It is usually possible to build an all favorites lineup, but you will be looking at a few pick em or slight favorite plays to make it work. 2. Take a shot on a punt who you think has a shot to win. This opens up salary to get a few more bigger favorites and is certainly a viable strategy for cash games. For GPP's, you are hurting your chances unless that punt play picks up the win.

Yafan Wang- If you choose to go the balanced, all favorites lineup route, consider Wang. Wang is a pick em play with dead even odds and even crazier, essentially dead even stats with her opponent Rybakina. Because this match is so insanely close, I lean the home court advantage for Wang. And at 7.4k, the cheapest pickem/favorite on the board, she allows you to grab all favorites.

Kateryna Bondarenko- If you want to go the punt route, Bondarenko is my favorite. Keep in mind that Vegas likes Bondarenko to get destroyed and that very well could be the case. But Bondarenko is fresh off an injury and desperate for some wins to raise her WTA ranking. She played very well in her qualifying match against Doi, only dropping 5 games. This is a punt, but she opens up so much salary and her desperation could lead to the victory.

To help fill out your lineup, grab our amazing cheat sheet below! As I mentioned above, our cheat sheet features all the stats and info you need to build a quality lineup and compete nightly in a difficult sport. Good luck and let's have some fun this Tennis season!

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