We are getting very close to the end of what has been a fun season. Last week saw another vet in Cory get his Red Skull, sending home rookie Swaggy C in the process. Who grabs potentially the last girls skull tonight?
At this point I assume most of you have been playing and/or following along, so feel free to skip pass the next few paragraphs and jump straight to the picks towards the bottom. For those new to this, go ahead and read the next few sections, which give you a basic rundown of the game itself!
As a reminder, the winners of the weekly challenge form the Tribunal and in a twist this year, they have the option to throw themselves in. This is huge because this years massive change is the fact that you can not make the finals unless you have won a purgatory elimination. So what this means is, the motivation to win the weekly challenges and make the Tribunal is HUGE. If you win, you can give yourself a chance to win a Purgatory against a potentially weaker opponent, or you can help a friend get their shot, which is what we saw week 2 when Dee made a massive mistake and gave Jenny the layup of the season.
Note: Before we dig in to this weeks episode, here is a look at the basics to the challenge.
For those new to The Challenge, first off, you are missing out! The Challenge is wildly entertaining. Featuring incredibly physical challenges, a house (amazing bunker this year!) full of pretty much crazy people, drama galore and just overall a great watch.
The Challenge concept is pretty simple. Each week contestants compete in a physical or mental challenge. Winner or winners (we saw a guy and girl winner weeks 1,3 & 6, a 3 player team in week 2, a 5 player team in week 4 & a 4 player team in week 5) are safe from elimination. Depending on the format of the challenge, additional members of the Tribunal are chosen. The Tribunal decides who will go to “Purgatory”. Purgatory is where an elimination contests takes place. Unlike Survivor, where you are voted out, on The Challenge you get a chance to compete head to head with someone with the winner staying and the loser going home.
The 2nd player who competes in Purgatory is decided on by a group vote. Historically we see rookies get voted in the first few and then alliances take form and dictate eliminations moving forward. But this season, you can’t make the finals without WINNING a Purgatory elimination. This is a HUGE change to the game that changes the core fundamentals of the game itself (in a good way IMO). Guys like Johnny Bananas and Wes have dominated seasons with their social game. Managing to avoid eliminations all season by the alliances they create. The days of skating to the finals are gone.
Now that we know the core concept, let’s take a look at some targets.
Week 1- Jenny & Rogan
week 2- Cory, Swagy C & Dee
Week 3- Bayleigh & CT
Week 4- Bear, Johnny Bananas, Big T, Aneesa, Kaycee
Week 5- Swaggy C, Josh, Jenny, Kaycee
Week 6- Jordan, Nany
Week 8- Wes, Mattie
Week 9- Wes, Corey, Dee, Nany, Bayleigh
Week 10- Dee, Wes, Rogan
Week 11- Josh, Melissa, Johnny
Week 12- Bayleigh, Dee, Fessy
Red Skull Winners (Purgatory wins)
Week 1- Jay
Week 2- Jenny
Week 3- Jay
Week 4- Dee
Week 5- Rogan
Week 6- Jenna
Week 8- Fessy, Nelson
Week 9- Anessa, Kaycee
Week 10- Johnny Bananas
Week 11- Dee
Week 12- Cory
Notes: Woman’s elimination night. They are the more valuable plays due to upside of potential Purgatory win.
Top Tier: Bayleigh, Nany, Melissa
Only 3 girls remain without a red skull. After another stupid decision to throw in Dee two weeks ago, I see 0 chance of that happening again this week. I would be shocked if the 2 woman in purgatory aren’t one of these 3. I believe Bayleigh will have to win the challenge in order to make purgatory as I don’t see a route for her otherwise.
2nd Tier: Kyle, Josh
These 2 are tied to one of the 3 girls looking to make Purgatory, giving them some added incentive to win the challenge. Kyle is close to Melissa and should be looking to help her out while Josh should be looking to help out Nany.
Good luck everyone!