Holy Rogan! Episode 5 left off with Rogan brutally body slamming Jay (even giving him a disrespectful push as he got up). The episode left off with Jay on the ground in pain. I wasn’t sure how Fanduel would handle this considering the Purgatory didn’t actually finish. They answered my questions though by noting at the top of the contest that Rogan/Jay will not given points for the elimination challenge.
At this point I assume most of you have been playing and/or following along, so feel free to skip pass the next few paragraphs and jump straight to the picks towards the bottom. For those new to this, go ahead and read the next few sections, which give you a basic rundown of the game itself!
As a reminder, the winners of the weekly challenge form the Tribunal and in a twist this year, they have the option to throw themselves in. This is huge because this years massive change is the fact that you can not make the finals unless you have won a purgatory elimination. So what this means is, the motivation to win the weekly challenges and make the Tribunal is HUGE. If you win, you can give yourself a chance to win a Purgatory against a potentially weaker opponent, or you can help a friend get their shot, which is what we saw week 2 when Dee made a massive mistake and gave Jenny the layup of the season.
Note: Before we dig in to this weeks episode, here is a look at the basics to the challenge.
For those new to The Challenge, first off, you are missing out! The Challenge is wildly entertaining. Featuring incredibly physical challenges, a house (amazing bunker this year!) full of pretty much crazy people, drama galore and just overall a great watch.
The Challenge concept is pretty simple. Each week contestants compete in a physical or mental challenge. Winner or winners (we saw a guy and girl winner weeks 1 &3, a 3 player team in week 2, a 5 player team in week 4 & a 4 player team in week 5) are safe from elimination. Depending on the format of the challenge, additional members of the Tribunal are chosen. The Tribunal decides who will go to “Purgatory”. Purgatory is where an elimination contests takes place. Unlike Survivor, where you are voted out, on The Challenge you get a chance to compete head to head with someone with the winner staying and the loser going home.
The 2nd player who competes in Purgatory is decided on by a group vote. Historically we see rookies get voted in the first few and then alliances take form and dictate eliminations moving forward. But this season, you can’t make the finals without WINNING a Purgatory elimination. This is a HUGE change to the game that changes the core fundamentals of the game itself (in a good way IMO). Guys like Johnny Bananas and Wes have dominated seasons with their social game. Managing to avoid eliminations all season by the alliances they create. The days of skating to the finals are gone.
Now that we know the core concept, let’s take a look at some targets.
Week 1- Jenny & Rogan
week 2- Cory, Swagy C & Dee
Week 3- Bayleigh & CT
Week 4- Bear, Johnny Bananas, Big T, Aneesa, Kaycee
Week 5- Swaggy C, Josh, Jenny, Kaycee
Red Skull Winners (Purgatory wins)
Week 1- Jay
Week 2- Jenny
Week 3- Jay
Week 4- Dee
Week 5- Assumed Rogan, but not confirmed.
Notes: Last week was a men’s elimination. Tonight should be a womans’s elimination, making them more valuable (you will want to captain a woman!). Also important to note Fanduel changed the format to 1 MVP (1.5x Points) and 4 other picks.
Top Tier: Tori, Mattie, Dee, Jenny, Johnny Bananas, Wes, Jordan
It is a woman’s elimination day, making them more valuable. I would imagine Tori is very aggressive tonight and tries to secure her Red Skull against a weaker girl. If that is the case, Jordan also receives a boost as he will get camera time & be pushing hard for a daily challenge win. Mattie continues to be super cheap and is a solid value. Dee and Jenny already have their red skulls, so I wouldn’t play either in captain. But Jenny has 2 daily challenge wins while Dee has 1. Johnny and Wes are strong vet men capable of daily challenge wins + they both get a ton of camera time, but you don’t want to captain a man tonight.
2nd Tier: Kaycee, Swaggy C
I typically don’t write up rookies, but here is my thinking here. Kaycee has won 2 daily challenges in a row and is a rookie. So there is a chance she gets targeted here, giving her the potential to win a red skull and therefore score big points. Not sure she can beat the likes of a Tori, but she makes for an upside punt option (Kaycee and Mattie are my favorite punt options). Swaggy C is another rookie and he also has 2 daily challenge wins now. He isn’t the same physical beast as the other guys, but a lot of daily challenges aren’t about brute strength and his brain has given him the advantage in those.
Good luck everyone!