The Toronto Maple Leafs and New York Rangers square off in a battle of backup goaltending at Madison Square Garden. Toronto will send out Michael Hutchinson who owns a .886% SV% and 3.62 GAA average, those numbers are worse on the road, .864% SV% and 4.52 GAA. Hutchinson’s -6.75 GSAA (goals saved above average) ranks 70th among the 82 goaltenders who have played this year. Igor
Shesterkin will get the start between the pipes for the Rangers tonight. Igor is 3-1 on the year with a .927% SV% and 2.51 GAA, fortunately for us those numbers would not be sustainable across the span of a season. The Rangers have managed to play to the over in two of Shesterkin’s starts, averaging 4.00 goals for in those
games. These teams have played to the over in three of their last five matchups including two 9 goal games in their only two matchups this season. Toronto has seen the over in 10 of Michael Hutchinson’s 14 appearances this year, allowing an average just over 5 goals a game in those outings – You heard that right, the Leafs are allowing a
5.07 GAA in Hutchinson’s appearances for the season. Since December 1st, both teams rank inside the bottom-10 in goals against while New York’s 52.19 xGA (expected goals against) is the 8th-highest average. Additional advanced statistics show both teams ranking in the bottom half of the league defensively. New York has allowed 2442 corsi against (20th), 1851 fenwick against (22nd), 109 goals against (16th), and 1184 scoring chances against (22nd) while the Toronto Maple Leafs have allowed 2421 CA (18th), 1883 FA (24th), 121 GA (27th) and 1148 SCA (17th). A brief look at some more common statistics have Toronto with a league-leading 3.81 goals for/g on the road and New York averaging 3.48 goals for/g at home. The Maple Leafs are fourth in shots for/g and the Rangers
are 2nd in shots against/g, Toronto is ninth in shots against/g and New York is twenty-second in shots for/g – Don’t worry, their 8.88% shooting percentage is a top-8 number.
Take Toronto and New York OVER 7 in a extremely open, and fast paced matchup.
Michael Hutchinson has seen the over in 7 of his 8 outings away from Scotiabank Arena this season.
The New York Rangers are 8-2-1 to the over in their last 11 at Madison Square Garden.
Special teams will be in play as both teams own top power play units, Toronto 24.8% (5th) and New York 23.5% (7th), while the Rangers’ 12.31 penalty minutes per game leads the NHL