The Chicago Blackhawks and Vancouver Canucks will face-off tonight at Rogers Arena, where Vancouver is scoring 3.67 goals for per game, the 4th-highest average in the NHL. With a goals for per game that high, it is odd to see that the Canucks are only attempting 30.3 shots for per game (25th) average at Rogers. I was scratching my head for a moment until I noticed that Vancouver leads the league in shooting percentage at home, 10.19%.
Luckily for us, the Chicago Blackhawks rank dead least in shots against per game with 35.3. Chicago is giving up 3.11 goals against per game and 3.21 goals against when playing away from home. Luckily for them, Vancouver is allowing their opposition to attempt 33.0 shots.
Both teams rank inside the top-10 in advanced statistics that would pertain to a play on the over, corsi against, fenwick against, expected goals against, and scoring chances against where Chicago ranks dead last (1369) and Vancouver is 29th (1302). Additionally, Vancouver is 10th in high danger goals for with 69 while Chicago has allowed 70 high danger goals against and a high danger corsi against of 575 which is 30th in the NHL, or second-most, however you want to put it.
Corey Crawford will get the start between the pipes for Chicago, he owns a 2.92 GAA and .912 SV% for the season, the GAA ranks 38th of 53 qualified goaltenders. Jacob Markstrom gets the nod for Vancouver, 2.81 GAA and .915 SV% which are solid numbers for the year but owns a 3.75 GAA over his last 4 starts.
We are recommending a large play on the over, which is our first 5-unit play for the year and in a long, long time: Chicago Blackhawks and Vancouver Canucks over 6.5.
Brock Boeser missed the Canucks last game and will miss tonight’s game with an upper body injury.
These teams have played to the over in 9 of the last 10 meetings, the most recent matchup a 7-5 Vancouver win on January 2nd.
Chicago is averaging 3.46 goals for in their last 13 road games.
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