The Nashville Predators are slumping having won just four of their last ten games, and surprisingly, three of those four wins have come on the road. The Predators are scoring nearly a half goal more (3.52 goals for) on the road than they do at Bridgestone (3.04 goals for). This bodes well for a matchup with the Washington Capitals who will have Braden Holtby between the pipes tonight at the Capital One Arena. Holtby ranks as the number 44 goalie out of 54 qualified goalies in save percentage with a .899% and his 3.05 goals against average is also 44th of 54, meaning only 10 goalies have a worse save percentage and goals against average.
Juuse Saros is confirmed for Nashville tonight, he has a 3.63 goals against average and .882% save percentage over his last six appearances. The Predators are 6-1-1 to the over in Saros’ last eight starts and 14-7-1 to the over when he starts for the season. Tonight’s game should be no different as the Capitals own one of the league’s top offenses, scoring 3.56 goals for per game and ranking 10th in shots for at 32.1 per game.
Both teams rank in the top 10 offensively in advanced statistics, Washington is 10th in corsi for (2276) and 11th in fenwick for (1699), while the Nashville Predators rank 7th in both CF and FF on the year. Since the beginning of 2020, Nashville is 3rd in both corsi for and fenwick for, 7th in scoring chances for and 12th in high danger corsi for. Also since the beginning of 2020, the Predators have allowed the 9th-most corsi against, fenwick against and 10th-most scoring chances against. Both teams rank in the top-6 in high danger goals for, Nashville leading the league in high danger goals with 77. The Capitals have allowed 62 high danger goals against, which is the 8th-most in the NHL, and most likely why we see lots of lamp lighting (the last three matchups have produced at least 9 combined goals per game) when these two faceoff.
Expect an extremely fast paced hockey game in Washington, D.C. tonight, take the over: Nashville and Washington over 6.5.
The Washington Capitals are 16-7 to the over at home this year.
These two teams have played to the over in 5 straight matchups and 8 of 10 overall.
Alexander Ovechkin has scored 8 goals in his last three games, including back-to-back hat tricks.
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