The Nashville Predators and Calgary Flames have played to the over in four of five overall including their only matchup this year, a 6-5 Calgary win on Halloween night. Offensively, both teams rank in the top-10 of advanced statistics for the season. Calgary is leading the way with 2529 corsi for (5th), 1882 fenwick for (6th), and 1181 scoring chances for (6th) while Nashville has 2463 corsi for (7th), 1867 fenwick for (7th) and 1086 scoring chances for (19th). There is a disparity in shooting percentage with Calgary ranking 29th out of 31 teams but Nashville’s 8.98% shooting percentage is 6th best and their 24.02% high danger shooting percentage leads the NHL.
Defensively, the Predators have been solid all year, but Calgary has struggled, as they have allowed 2491 corsi against (23rd), 1909 fenwick against (25th) and 1191 scoring chances against (23rd). Despite Nashville’s defensive numbers being inside the top-10, we are not too worried as their team save percentage is not. Pekka Rinne and Juuse Saros have combined to own a .892% SV%, which ranks 27th out of 31 teams, while allowing 3.25 goals against on average. Saros will get the start in net, he ranks as one of the worst goaltenders in the NHL, a .898 SV% is 7th-worst and his 3.08 GAA is 11th-worst.
Special teams will play a role tonight and we are all for it as both Nashville and Calgary average 9.00 penalty minutes per game, which is the 10th highest average. Nashville owns a 68% penalty kill on the road; they have managed to kill off just 64 of 93 when playing a man down. They are dead last away from Bridgestone on the penalty kill and Calgary comes in with a 20.0% conversion rate on the power play this season. When playing at Scotiabank Saddledome, the Flames own a 24.4% power play percentage, which ranks in the top-10 of the NHL.
We have a little push protection tonight and recommend a strong play on the over. Take Nashville and Calgary over 6.
The Calgary Flames have played to the over in seven of their last nine home games.
Juuse Saros is 8-1-1 to the over in his last 10 appearances.
Mike Giordano will be out tonight and for the considerable future, he won the Norris trophy last year but has just 27 points in 54 games this season.
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