CFB Halloween Breakdown 10/31

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Halloween brings us a 2 game CFB slate. Let’s dive right in!

West Virginia @ Baylor (-18) 55.5 Total

Undefeated Baylor leads the slate with a 36.75 implied total and should be very popular. West Virginia does offer some upside though. Let’s take a look at some plays.

QB

Charlie Brewer- Top QB play on the slate and its not really close. Brewer averages a slate high 266 yards through the air, 2.57 TDs per game and faces a WVU defense who gives up slate high rush yards, pass yards, total yards & points against a game.

Austin Kendall- WVU will be playing from behind today as 18 point underdogs. Baylor is giving up 221 yards per game through the air.

RB

JaMycal Hasty/John Lovett/Trestan Ebner- Baylor runs a 3 headed attack, which isn’t ideal for DFS. Ebner missed last weeks game, opening the door for a monster game from Hasty. But Ebner is expected back , which should cut back in to Hasty’s carries. This is a tough situation none of these backs averaging double digit carries. Hasty and Lovett have shown upside. No interest in Ebner. Proceed with caution.

Leddie Brown- The WVU rushing attack has been pretty bad this year, averaging a measly 2.9 yards per carry on the season. I don’t imagine they will be a whole let better here with Baylor being 41st in the nation against the rush, giving up 137.4 yards per game on the ground. BUT, Leddie has taken over the lead back role and received double digit carries the last 2 weeks.

WR

Denzel Mims/Tyquan Thornton- The top 2 WR’s for Baylor. Mims is the big name here but has been underwhelming as of late. Thornton on the other hand has been super consistent with double digits in 5 straight. Thornton has the safer floor right now while Mims has the higher ceiling.

R.J. Sneed/Josh Fleeks/Chris Platt- Platt and Sneed are listed as the other 2 starting WR’s. Fleeks had a breakout game last week which could lead to some more playing time. Not a ton of consistency from this group.

T.J. Simmons/Sam James/Ali Jennings– Simmons has exploded lately with 3 straight games with 18.5+ DK points. He is a top play here considering the volume of the WVU passing game and game flow. James in in play as well if you can’t afford Simmonds. Lastly is a punt in Ali Jennings. Jennings started last game and saw 4 targets, catching 2.

Georgia Southern @ Appalachian State (-15) 45 Total

Don’t look now, but App State is undefeated & ranked 20th! Today they have the 2nd highest implied total of 30. GSU has a slate low implied total of 15. Let’s take a look.

QB

Zac Thomas- Averaging 185 yards through the air and another 38 on the ground with 2.14 TD’s per game. At only $300 more than Kendall on DK, expect he and Brewer to be a popular pairing. On FD, Kendall is a grand cheaper, which could lead to a bit less ownerhip.

Shai Werts- If you don’t know anything about Georgia Southern, they are a triple option team. Which means they are going to run the ball all game long, regardless of the score. Werts season high attempts for a game was 17. Last 2 weeks he has attempted 12 combined. Because of this, Werts doesn’t have near the ceiling of the other QB’s.

RB

Darrynton Evans/Marcus Williams Jr.- App State is really banged up in the RB room, leaving these 2 to do the heavy lifting. Evans is averaging a slate high 18 attempts a game while Williams has seen an uptick in carries with double digit attempts the last 2 weeks, which he turned in to 2 straight weeks of 15+ DK points. Evans has disappointed 2 of the last 3 weeks with single digit performances, but the volume is still there. He has double digit attempts every single game this season and a massive ceiling with a 51 point game this season.

Wesley Kennedy III/J.D. King- The top 2 backs for GSU. Kennedy is an explosive back who is averaging over 100 yards a game on only 13 attempts a game. He debuted 3 weeks ago and has already amassed 324 yards & 5 TDs. King is more of a volume back, especially since the injury to Logan Wright. King has averaged 20 attempts a game the last 3 weeks.

WR

Thomas Hennigan/Corey Sutton- App State likes to spread the ball around, which is always tricky for DFS. But these 2 have been the most consistent. Hennigan is the top option and has hit double digit DK points in 5 of 7 weeks. Sutton has been fairly consistent as well, with double digitis in 3 of 5.

Good luck!

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