Welcome back Tennis fans! The 2020 season is here and we are starting you off with coverage from day 1. Our industry leading cheat sheet features all the stats you need to build a quality lineup every slate. A few things to remember with Tennis.
- Super difficult sport. One of, if not the most high variance sport. So play smart!
- Slate start times are all over the place, including some middle of the night starts. So be mindful of start times and the fact that a late scratch is potential with Tennis.
- Tennis is not like most sports where you have to pay up for the top plays. There are no James Harden's in Tennis where 1 player can score 40 points more than anybody else on the slate. It is rarely going to be worth paying all the way up for a player unless the slate allows it.
- Be careful about players who double fault a lot.
- Players with high ace upside AND favorites (as long as the price isn't outrageous) are usually top tier plays.
Day 2 is not actually over yet with one of our picks, Lopez having yet his match moved back to 5:00 today. We missed on the Bublik play, but our sleeper punt, Alex Bolt came through. Let's dig in to tonight slate, which starts at 8:00.
Elena Rybakina- Rybakina is off to a hot start to the year, already winning 5 matches through 2 weeks. She easily disposed of Zidansek in the 1st round, losing a total of 5 games. Meanwhile, her opponenet Coret had a hard fought 3 set match where she defeated Alison Van Uytvanck. While the AVU win was a solid win, Rybakina is playing extremely well and just the better player. Should be a fairly straight forward match and a really good shot at a straight set win at only 8.3k.
Note: There are typically a few ways to build your Tennis lineups. 1. All favorites. In order to take down a GPP, you need all 6 of your players to win their match. For cash games, you can get away with a loss or two. It is usually possible to build an all favorites lineup, but you will be looking at a few pick em or slight favorite plays to make it work. 2. Take a shot on a punt who you think has a shot to win. This opens up salary to get a few more big favorites and is certainly a viable strategy for cash games. For GPP’s, you are hurting your chances unless that punt play picks up the win.
With the above note in mind, we are going to take a look at 2 cheaper under dog options who have a shot to win and open up some salary. If you wish to go the all favorites route, (which is fine!) utilize our cheat sheet to help easily accomplish this.
Draftkings pricing is a bit softer today and you can build an all favorites lineup a -120 favorite being your tightest pick. Again, if you want to go that route, ignore the below plays and utilize the cheat sheet to fill out your line with all favorites. That is an absolutely viable strategy. If you want to take a shot on an under dog to clear up some salary, lets take a look at two worth considering.
James Duckworth- Wild card Duckworth is a home town kid playing with house money. He takes on Felix Auger Aliassime and finds himself a +125 under dog. On paper, Felix is the far superior player. But Felix is also only 19 years old and right now he could be struggling with his confidence after a disastrous ATP cup where he lost 3 straight matches, not winning a single set in the process. Duckworth has the home court behind him and a good enough game to take down Felix if Felix can't find his rhythm..which has been he case to start the year.
Fiona Ferro- Ferro is taking on Heather Watson for already the 2nd time in 2020. The squared off just 8 days ago at Brisbane with Watson prevailing 6-2, 7-6. The fact that Ferro was able to take the 2nd set to a tie break is a good sign that she started to figure Watson out a bit. Plus, it is tough to beat a player of similar skill level twice in just a matter of weeks. I like Ferro to at least squeeze out a set here if not win the match.
Keep in mind if you decide to pick an under dog, it is important your safe picks all come through to make the punt worth it!
To help fill out your lineup, grab our amazing cheat sheet below! As I mentioned above, our cheat sheet features all the stats and info you need to build a quality lineup and compete nightly in a difficult sport. Good luck and let's have some fun this Tennis season!